SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Boston River |
28.08% ( -0.22) | 27.39% ( 0.13) | 44.53% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.15% ( -0.58) | 57.85% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( -0.45) | 78.57% ( 0.46) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.49) | 36.28% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.5) | 73.07% ( 0.5) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.21) | 25.86% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.29) | 60.83% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 28.08% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.53% |
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