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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
42.63% ( 0.05) | 27.88% ( -0.01) | 29.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.01% ( 0.03) | 58.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.54% ( 0.03) | 79.46% ( -0.03) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.04) | 27.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.05) | 62.84% ( -0.06) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( -0.01) | 35.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -0.01) | 72.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2% Total : 29.49% |
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