Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 21, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
3 - 0
Sousa

Capixaba (25'), Neves (59'), Mosquera (71')
Candido (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tubias Pontes (75'), Duarte da Silva (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bragantino and Sousa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions

Last Game: Sportivo 2-3 Bragantino
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

We said: Bragantino 3-0 Sousa (Bragantino advances 3-0 on aggregate)

Expect to see Sousa hang back and try to frustrate Braga throughout this encounter, but we do not believe that will be enough to see them upset the home side, who seem to be a lot more decisive in the attacking third at Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Sousa had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.13%) and 1-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Sousa win it was 0-1 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bragantino in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Sousa
85.11% ( 1.48)	10.95% ( -0.79)	3.94% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 33.88% (

-2.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89% (

0.13)

38.11% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.62% (

0.14)

60.38% (

-0.14)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.57% (

0.34)

6.43% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.93% (

0.92)

24.06% (

-0.92)

Sousa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.2% (

-2.8)

63.8% (

2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.53% (

-1.32)

92.47% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 85.1%

Sousa 3.94%

Draw 10.95%

Bragantino	Draw	Sousa
2-0 @ 15.44% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.29) 5-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.45) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.22) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) 7-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.33% Total : 85.1%	1-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.23% Total : 10.95%	0-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.96% Total : 3.94%