SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
68.57% ( 0.2) | 19.63% ( -0.11) | 11.79% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 0.21) | 48.59% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.19) | 70.71% ( -0.19) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0.12) | 13.11% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.24% ( 0.25) | 39.75% ( -0.25) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.35% ( -0.04) | 49.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.58% ( -0.03) | 84.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.56% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.63% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 11.79% |
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