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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
CC

Bristol City
0 - 1
Coventry


Naismith (29'), Armstrong (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simms (65')
Dasilva (7'), Palmer (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Coventry City

Bristol City will be desperate to win in front of their Ashton Gate faithful after dropping two points in the final moments at Hull on the weekend. Coventry have a number of exciting attackers who are set to start on Tuesday even if Robins elects to rotate his XI, so we are envisaging progression into the second round for the Sky Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
38.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.77% (0.0020000000000024 0) 35.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.19% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.012 0.01)26.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (0.012 0.01)61.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.29%
    Coventry City 35.94%
    Draw 25.77%
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Willem II
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Bristol City
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Newport
Tuesday, July 23 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Coventry 3-0 Everton
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-0 Coventry
Saturday, July 27 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Coventry
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Coventry
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3


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