Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.67) 
0.01) 
