Newport should be ahead of Bristol City in terms of fitness, but there will be a huge gap in the quality of the two sets of players, and we are expecting the Championship side to open their pre-season with a win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
5.57) 
-1.33) 
