Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.01) 
