Low on confidence due to their League One struggles, Burton could be unnerved by a shaky start at the Pirelli Stadium against non-league opposition.
That being said, the Brewers should have too much quality for Scarborough, who could be having nightmares about Orsi and Bodin on Saturday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
0.36) 
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