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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
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Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Burton Albion

Reading have some momentum courtesy of their last triumph and will back themselves to see off the threat of a struggling Burton side. We fully expect the home side to collect maximum points in front of their fans for the second game running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
47.14% (-3.87 -3.87) 24.63% (0.454 0.45) 28.23% (3.419 3.42)
Both teams to score 55.76% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.62 0.62)46.83% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.577 0.58)69.08% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.325 -1.33)19.94% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.183 -2.18)52.09% (2.187 2.19)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (3.018 3.02)30.35% (-3.014 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (3.452 3.45)66.54% (-3.448 -3.45)
Score Analysis
    Reading 47.14%
    Burton Albion 28.23%
    Draw 24.63%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.363 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.647 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.561 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.455 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.341 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One


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