SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chester FC |
38.97% ( 0.06) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 35.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0.02) | 49.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.02) | 71.33% ( -0.02) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.04) | 24.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( 0.06) | 59.46% ( -0.06) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -0.03) | 62.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.26% |
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