SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Southport |
57.37% ( 0.2) | 22.97% ( -0.07) | 19.66% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 0.14) | 48.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( 0.13) | 70.22% ( -0.13) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( 0.12) | 16.5% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.77% ( 0.21) | 46.23% ( -0.21) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( -0.05) | 38.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( -0.05) | 75.35% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.66% |
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