SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 8.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cameroon | Draw | Burundi |
75.22% ( -0.41) | 16.16% ( 0.18) | 8.61% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.25% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.07) | 42.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.07) | 64.97% ( 0.07) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( -0.12) | 9.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.77% ( -0.28) | 32.23% ( 0.27) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.87% ( 0.47) | 52.13% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.91% ( 0.31) | 86.09% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cameroon | Draw | Burundi |
| 2-0 @ 13.75% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 75.21% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.16% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.61% |
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