SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.83%) and 0-3 (14.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Namibia |
4.5% ( -37.51) | 14.11% ( -7.5) | 81.38% ( 45.01) |
| Both teams to score 27.91% ( -42.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -21.01) | 49.86% ( 21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( -22.06) | 71.85% ( 22.05) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 30.99% ( -54.22) | 69% ( 54.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.39% ( -51.55) | 94.61% ( 51.55) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( 7.08) | 9.94% ( -7.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( 14.29) | 32.88% ( -14.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 2.54% ( -2.27) 2-1 @ 1.09% ( -7.05)Other @ 0.87% Total : 4.5% | 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 4.34) 1-1 @ 5.87% ( -2.65)2-2 @ 1.26% ( -5.95)Other @ 0.13% Total : 14.11% | 0-2 @ 18.27% ( 14.32) 0-1 @ 15.83% ( 11.37)0-3 @ 14.06% ( 11.73)0-4 @ 8.12% ( 7.09)1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.76)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.77)0-5 @ 3.75% ( 3.39)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 1.04)0-6 @ 1.44% ( 1.34)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -3.29)Other @ 2.52% Total : 81.37% |
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