SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Burundi |
67.63% ( 0.46) | 19.75% ( -0.2) | 12.62% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( 0.28) | 47.13% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( 0.26) | 69.37% ( -0.25) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.22) | 12.95% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% ( 0.44) | 39.41% ( -0.44) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.24) | 47.33% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.26% ( -0.18) | 82.74% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Burundi |
| 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 67.62% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.75% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 12.62% |
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