SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Burundi win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Cameroon |
29.13% ( -1.16) | 23.86% ( 0.09) | 47.01% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -1.07) | 42.83% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( -1.07) | 65.23% ( 1.08) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -1.3) | 27.67% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -1.71) | 63.22% ( 1.71) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( 0.01) | 18.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( 0.02) | 49.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Cameroon |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.13% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.01% |
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