SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Namibia | Draw | Burundi |
54.58% ( -1.11) | 26.94% ( 0.33) | 18.48% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 38.95% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.15) | 63.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.21% ( -0.11) | 82.79% ( 0.11) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.55) | 23.63% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( -0.79) | 57.72% ( 0.79) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.89) | 48.99% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.05% ( 0.63) | 83.95% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Namibia | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 16.7% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.48% |
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