SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Burundi |
67.94% ( -0.26) | 19.57% ( 0.15) | 12.48% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.39) | 46.68% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.37) | 68.94% ( 0.36) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( -0.19) | 12.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.05% ( -0.4) | 38.94% ( 0.39) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.06) | 47.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.3% ( -0.05) | 82.69% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Burundi |
| 2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 67.93% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.57% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.48% |
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