SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Canada | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chile | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Peru | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Chile |
34.11% ( -0.09) | 25.33% ( 0.08) | 40.57% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.38) | 47.48% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.36) | 69.69% ( 0.35) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.24) | 26.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -0.31) | 62.05% ( 0.31) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.17) | 23.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.24) | 57.14% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.57% |
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