SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Chile |
57.97% ( -0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.03) | 16.62% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.57% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.06) | 60.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( -0.05) | 80.92% ( 0.05) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.04) | 21.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( -0.07) | 53.97% ( 0.08) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.01) | 49.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.46% ( -0.01) | 84.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 16.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 57.97% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.62% |
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