SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Peru had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
28.48% ( -0.24) | 28% ( 0.04) | 43.53% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( -0.24) | 59.8% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( -0.18) | 80.08% ( 0.18) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.32) | 37.02% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( -0.32) | 73.81% ( 0.32) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -0) | 27.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0.01) | 62.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.53% |
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