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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
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Ecuador
1 - 0
Chile

Mena (21')
Torres (36'), Preciado (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pulgar (44'), Echeverria (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Ecuador 0-0 Chile

Ecuador have been steady if not spectacular so far and will expect to claim another result against a Chile side in disarray. The visitors will have to regroup quickly after the resignation of their manager just a few days ago, and an away trip to a side notoriously stingy in defence is not the ideal fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.42%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawChile
47.17% (-0.38 -0.38) 29.64% (0.096 0.1) 23.19% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 38.17% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.55% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)67.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.43% (-0.065 -0.06)85.56% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-0.247 -0.25)29.06% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.305 -0.31)64.97% (0.30199999999999 0.3)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.81% (0.229 0.23)46.19% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13% (0.174 0.17)81.86% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 47.15%
    Chile 23.18%
    Draw 29.63%
EcuadorDrawChile
1-0 @ 16.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 47.15%
0-0 @ 13.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 4% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Friday, September 8 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1.15am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 2-0 Peru
Friday, October 13 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Chile
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 0-0 Chile
Wednesday, June 21 at 1am in International Friendlies


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