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Friendlies 1
Jun 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
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Chile
3 - 0
Paraguay

Davila (17', 37'), Vargas (53')
Isla (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peralta (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-2 Chile
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, June 8 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Chile 0-0 Paraguay

With the Copa America being so close it is likely that both teams will be cautious in this match due to the potential risks that any injuries could pose. That, coupled with the fact that both have been struggling to find the back of the net lately could see them play out a goalless draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.21%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.56%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
70.8% (0.123 0.12) 20.85% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 8.35% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 29.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (0.029 0.03)81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.101 0.1)46.14% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.74% (-0.12 -0.12)64.25% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.32% (-0.056 -0.06)92.67% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chile 70.78%
    Paraguay 8.35%
    Draw 20.84%
ChileDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 19.07%
2-0 @ 17.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58%
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 70.78%
0-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 8.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: France 3-2 Chile
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 0-3 Chile
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 2-0 Peru
Friday, October 13 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, June 8 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Bolivia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Paraguay
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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