SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Jamaica |
59.4% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( 0.17) | 18.13% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( -0.95) | 48.19% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.87) | 70.35% ( 0.88) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.33) | 15.86% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% ( -0.61) | 45.05% ( 0.62) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.73) | 40.4% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.99% ( -0.67) | 77.02% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Canada | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.39% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.13% |
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