Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Metropolitanos win 5-4 on penalties
Carlos Ortiz (64' pen.)
Apaolaza (19'), Merino (20'), Aponte (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ortiz (7')
Cuero (38')
Graterol (62')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Carabobo and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Carabobo | Draw | Metropolitanos |
52.38% ( 0.08) | 26% ( -0.01) | 21.62% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.06) |
| 42.58% ( -0.03) | 57.42% ( 0.04) |
| 21.77% ( -0.03) | 78.23% ( 0.03) |
| 77.98% ( 0.02) | 22.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.67% ( 0.03) | 55.33% ( -0.02) |
| 58.09% ( -0.09) | 41.91% ( 0.09) |
