Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 76.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-2 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.12%) and 0-3 (11.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.58) 
