Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cavalry win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cavalry win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
