Nashville have proven themselves to be the most stubborn team to break down across the MLS as a whole so far this season, and we expect that to continue on Thursday.
Orlando clearly have the more talented attackers and cohesive offensive play, though, and this should help them earn a share of the spoils.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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