SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
56.24% ( -0.68) | 22.03% ( 0.04) | 21.72% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.65) | 41.24% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.66) | 63.63% ( -0.66) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( 0) | 14.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.46% ( 0) | 42.54% ( -0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( 0.97) | 32.67% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( 1.07) | 69.21% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.24% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.72% |
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