Rizespor looks strong at home, riding a two-win streak while Antalyaspor has been inconsistent. The home side have also dominated recent meetings between these teams at the Rize City Stadium. We expect both sides to find the net but we favour a narrow home win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.
-0.07) 
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