SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Antalyaspor |
72.91% ( -0.67) | 16.09% ( 0.46) | 11% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( -1.66) | 34.37% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( -1.89) | 56.28% ( 1.9) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% ( -0.54) | 8.16% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.39% ( -1.36) | 28.6% ( 1.37) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.77) | 41.74% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( -0.68) | 78.21% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.05% Total : 72.91% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 11% |
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