Four of the last six La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are predicting another stalemate on Sunday. Celta have only won three times at home in the league this season and might be forced to settle for a point against a team two spots and two points above them in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.41) 
-0.45) 
