Real Madrid are not in their best form of the season, and Celta certainly have the players to make this a difficult match despite their poor position in the table. Los Blancos will be determined to return to winning ways, though, and we are expecting Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to all three points in the capital.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.05) 
