We said: Celta Vigo 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
Celta's home form this season has been disappointing, but Rayo have not travelled particularly well, which makes this a difficult match to call. Both sides are enjoying impressive campaigns, though, and there will be plenty of attacking talent on the field, so we are predicting an entertaining draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
