SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.4%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 3.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 4-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
87.4% ( 0.08) | 8.81% ( -0.02) | 3.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.31) | 26.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.4) | 46.95% ( 0.4) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.05% ( -0.04) | 3.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.29% ( -0.12) | 16.71% ( 0.12) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.45% ( -0.56) | 55.54% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.79% ( -0.33) | 88.2% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
| 3-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 87.38% | 1-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.81% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 3.79% |
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