SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.97%) and 4-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
84.99% ( 0.72) | 10.58% ( -0.48) | 4.43% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 39.7% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.97% ( 1.27) | 33.02% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.24% ( 1.45) | 54.75% ( -1.45) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.52% ( 0.38) | 5.48% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.61% ( 1.08) | 21.38% ( -1.08) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42% ( -0.02) | 57.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.41% ( -0.01) | 89.59% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.25)1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.5% Total : 84.98% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.39% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.33% Total : 4.43% |
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