SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 0-3 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
10.56% ( 0.61) | 17.31% ( 0.57) | 72.13% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( -0.84) | 41.69% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( -0.85) | 64.09% ( 0.85) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.52% ( 0.63) | 47.48% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.15% ( 0.46) | 82.85% ( -0.46) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.81% ( -0.51) | 10.19% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.53% ( -1.18) | 33.47% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.55% Total : 10.56% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 9.6% ( -0.28)1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 5.48% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.5% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.23% Total : 72.12% |
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