SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celtic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
50.13% ( -0.04) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 27.35% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.04) | 37.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( -0.04) | 60.01% ( 0.04) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.03) | 15.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( -0.05) | 44.08% ( 0.05) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0) | 26.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -0) | 61.43% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.35% |
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