SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
37.94% ( 0.02) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 38.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.67% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( -0.04) | 39.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.04) | 61.66% ( 0.04) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.01) | 20.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.01) | 53.67% ( 0) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.03) | 20.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( -0.05) | 53.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.36% |
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