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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.52%) and 1-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
37.18% ( -3.14) | 22.36% ( 0.61) | 40.45% ( 2.53) |
| Both teams to score 67.82% ( -2.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( -3.25) | 32.62% ( 3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( -3.85) | 54.28% ( 3.85) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( -2.71) | 18.35% ( 2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% ( -4.8) | 49.45% ( 4.8) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.34) | 16.94% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( -0.62) | 47.02% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.21)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.86)1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.39)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.16)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.45% |
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