SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
70.78% ( -0.08) | 17.48% ( 0.06) | 11.74% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.21) | 39.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -0.22) | 61.46% ( 0.22) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( -0.07) | 9.85% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.32% ( -0.17) | 32.68% ( 0.17) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.09) | 43.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( -0.08) | 79.86% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 70.77% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.48% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.74% |
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