Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
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