SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
18.35% ( -0.03) | 19.45% ( 0.01) | 62.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.98% ( -0.11) | 34.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.13) | 55.89% ( 0.13) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( -0.1) | 31.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( -0.12) | 68.14% ( 0.12) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% ( -0.03) | 10.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.73% ( -0.06) | 34.27% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.35% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.2% |
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