SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Gent had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Gent |
39.39% ( -0.19) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 35.76% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.05) | 45.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.05) | 67.38% ( 0.04) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.12) | 22.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( -0.18) | 56.41% ( 0.16) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.07) | 24.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 0.11) | 59.18% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.76% |
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