SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Celtic Women had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Celtic Women win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Celtic Women |
52.19% ( -8.82) | 23.46% ( 2.48) | 24.35% ( 6.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( -2.92) | 44.76% ( 2.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( -2.87) | 67.12% ( 2.87) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -3.9) | 17.16% ( 3.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( -7.36) | 47.4% ( 7.36) |
| Celtic Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 4.48) | 32.3% ( -4.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 4.77) | 68.8% ( -4.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Celtic Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -1.34)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.99)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -1.65)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.87)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -1.16)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 1.18) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.52)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 1.39) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 1.31)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 1.1)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.52)Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.35% |
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