SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
40.77% ( -0.05) | 24.28% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.05) | 42.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( -0.05) | 64.92% ( 0.05) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0.05) | 20.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( -0.07) | 53.74% ( 0.07) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0) | 23.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( 0) | 58.17% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.95% |
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