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National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
1 - 0
Welling United

Kuhl (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Braintree
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
57.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 21.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.97% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (-0.061 -0.06)37.77% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.01% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)12.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.107 -0.11)31.1% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.125 -0.13)67.43% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 57.56%
    Welling United 21.27%
    Draw 21.16%
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 21.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-2 Truro City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Braintree
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Truro City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 4-1 Worthing
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South


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