Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Farnborough Town | Draw | Welling United |
57.56% ( 0.09) | 21.16% ( -0.01) | 21.27% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.23% ( -0.06) | 37.77% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% ( -0.06) | 60.01% ( 0.07) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% ( 0.01) | 12.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.55% ( 0.01) | 39.45% ( -0.01) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( -0.11) | 31.1% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.13) | 67.43% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Farnborough Town | Draw | Welling United |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 57.56% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 21.27% |
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