Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
-1.25) 
0.14) 
