Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
