Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.03) 
